Stamford vs Leiston: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Zeeco Stadium, Stamford, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Stamford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stamford vs Leiston?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Stamford (1,729) and Leiston (1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stamford have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stamford win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Leiston win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Stamford 2-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Leiston 3-0 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Stamford 0-2 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Leiston 1-1 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Stamford 3-0 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Leiston 3-2 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamford | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stamford sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (0 points from 3 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stamford vs Leiston?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Stamford.
- Where and when is Stamford vs Leiston played?
- Stamford vs Leiston is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Zeeco Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027StourbridgevsStratford Town
- Apr 17, 2027Banbury UnitedvsHitchin Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsKettering Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsHalesowen Town
- Apr 17, 2027Redditch UnitedvsRushall Olympic
- Apr 17, 2027LeamingtonvsLeighton Town
- Apr 17, 2027Anstey NomadsvsBury Town
- Apr 17, 2027Racing Club WarwickvsNeedham Market