Antoniano vs Don Benito: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, Lebrija
The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Don Benito. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antoniano vs Don Benito?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Antoniano (1,879) and Don Benito (1,913).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antoniano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Don Benito have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Diocesano(home) | 8-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Jerez(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Antoniano win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Don Benito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Antoniano 1-0 Don Benito | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Don Benito 1-0 Antoniano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Antoniano vs Don Benito on Mar 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoniano | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Don Benito | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 40 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antoniano vs Don Benito?
- The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Don Benito.
- Where and when is Antoniano vs Don Benito played?
- Antoniano vs Don Benito is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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