Where and when is Antoniano vs Marbella played?

Antoniano vs Marbella is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Antoniano vs Marbella: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, Lebrija

Antoniano

Marbella

The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Antoniano vs Marbella?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Antoniano (1,879) and Marbella (1,799).

Antoniano win53 %

Draw27 %

Marbella win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antoniano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Marbella have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Antoniano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Jaén(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Recreativo Huelva(home)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Málaga II(away)	2-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Yeclano(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Linares Deportivo(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Marbella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Teruel(home)	3-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Alcorcon(away)	2-6	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Eldense(away)	1-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sabadell(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Antoniano win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Marbella win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 10, 2024	Antoniano 3-0 Marbella	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 28, 2023	Marbella 0-0 Antoniano	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Antoniano vs Marbella on Mar 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Antoniano	1.0	1.3	4	7/15	5/15
Marbella	1.5	1.8	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Antoniano	34	12	8	14	38	40	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Antoniano vs Marbella?: The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Marbella.
Where and when is Antoniano vs Marbella played?: Antoniano vs Marbella is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.