Antwerp vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bosuilstadion, Deurne
The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Antwerp. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charleroi wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antwerp vs Charleroi?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Antwerp (1,957) and Charleroi (2,050).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Antwerp vs Charleroi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Antwerp
4-4-2- 9M. Frey
- 10C. Scott
- 14X. Dierckx
- 25M. Fofana
- 48A. Vermeeren
- 6B. Deuff
- 44M. Busi
- 3Álvaro Cortés Moyano
- 4Y. Tsunashima
- 20R. Van Helden
- 41T. Nozawa
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antwerp have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Charleroi have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 1-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Genk(home) | 4-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Antwerp wins, 1 draw, 5 Charleroi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Antwerp 0-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Charleroi 2-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Antwerp 0-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Charleroi 1-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 29, 2025 | Antwerp 1-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Antwerp 1-3 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Antwerp score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antwerp sit 13th in Jupiler Pro League (7 points from 7 matches) and Charleroi sit 4th (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Charleroi | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Antwerp vs Charleroi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Antwerp.
- Where and when is Antwerp vs Charleroi played?
- Antwerp vs Charleroi is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bosuilstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.