Antwerp vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bosuilstadion, Deurne
The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antwerp vs Charleroi?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Antwerp (1,953) and Charleroi (1,988).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antwerp have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Charleroi have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Genk(home) | 4-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Antwerp win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Charleroi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Antwerp 0-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Charleroi 2-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Antwerp 0-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Charleroi 1-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 29, 2025 | Antwerp 1-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Antwerp 1-3 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Antwerp score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antwerp sit 4th in Jupiler Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and Charleroi sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Antwerp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Charleroi.
- Where and when is Antwerp vs Charleroi played?
- Antwerp vs Charleroi is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bosuilstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.