Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for St. Truiden. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden?
Club Brugge KV starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (2,209 vs 2,027).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Brugge KV have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; St. Truiden have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rennes(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Club Brugge KV win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 St. Truiden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Club Brugge KV 2-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | St. Truiden 1-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | St. Truiden 3-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Club Brugge KV 2-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | St. Truiden 2-2 Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Club Brugge KV 7-0 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Brugge KV score 2.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; St. Truiden score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge KV | 2.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| St. Truiden | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Brugge KV sit 1st in Jupiler Pro League (9 points from 3 matches) and St. Truiden sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden?
- The Footlab model makes Club Brugge KV the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for St. Truiden.
- Where and when is Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden played?
- Club Brugge KV vs St. Truiden is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Breydelstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.