AO Itabaiana vs Caxias: result 0-2 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 16Kick-off on August 9, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Etelvino Mendonça, Itabaiana, Sergipe
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What was the result of AO Itabaiana vs Caxias?
Caxias won 0-2 on August 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′Breno SantosCaxias
- 48′João LucasCaxias
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a AO Itabaiana win at 35%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for AO Itabaiana vs Caxias
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
AO Itabaiana
- 7Leilson
- 10Rodrigo Alves
- 2Cerqueira Ricardo
- 5Gustavo Crecci
- 9Cleiton
- 11Renatinho
- 17Fabricio Moura
- 3Gustavo Fagundes
- 4Ligger
- 6Tito
- 1Jefferson
Caxias
- 7Calyson Rosa
- 9Diego Quirino
- 10João Lucas
- 19Jhonatan Ribeiro
- 5Breno Santos
- 6Victor Sa
- 8Marcelo Freitas
- 2Felipe Albuquerque
- 3Ianson
- 4Mancha
- 1Busatto
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AO Itabaiana have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Caxias have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Confiança(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Brusque(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Amazonas(away) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ferroviária(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Anápolis(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Botafogo PB(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Floresta(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Ferroviária(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Anápolis(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Maringá(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 AO Itabaiana win, 0 draws, 0 Caxias wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | AO Itabaiana 2-1 Caxias | Serie C |
Last archived meeting: AO Itabaiana vs Caxias on May 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AO Itabaiana score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caxias score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AO Itabaiana | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Caxias | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AO Itabaiana sit 19th in Serie C (17 points from 19 matches) and Caxias sit 14th (25 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Caxias | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 25 |
| 19 | AO Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 17 |
A question about AO Itabaiana vs Caxias?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy