Aoiz vs Cirbonero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Miguel, Agoitz (Aoiz)
The Footlab model makes Aoiz the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Cirbonero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aoiz vs Cirbonero?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Aoiz (1,710) and Cirbonero (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aoiz have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Cirbonero have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ardoi(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Oberena(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Aoiz win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cirbonero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Cirbonero 2-0 Aoiz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Aoiz 1-2 Cirbonero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aoiz score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cirbonero score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aoiz | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cirbonero | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aoiz sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (36 points from 33 matches) and Cirbonero sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cirbonero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 42 | 43 |
| 14 | Aoiz | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 47 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aoiz vs Cirbonero?
- The Footlab model makes Aoiz the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Cirbonero.
- Where and when is Aoiz vs Cirbonero played?
- Aoiz vs Cirbonero is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Miguel, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.