Cirbonero vs Aoiz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Juan, Cintruénigo
The Footlab model makes Cirbonero the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Aoiz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cirbonero vs Aoiz?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Cirbonero (1,758) and Aoiz (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cirbonero have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Aoiz have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Valle Egüés(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Huarte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cortes(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Oberena(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Izarra(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ardoi(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Txantrea(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Cirbonero win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Aoiz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Cirbonero 2-0 Aoiz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Aoiz 1-2 Cirbonero | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cirbonero score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aoiz score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cirbonero | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Aoiz | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cirbonero sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (43 points from 34 matches) and Aoiz sit 14th (36 points from 33 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cirbonero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 42 | 43 |
| 14 | Aoiz | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 47 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cirbonero vs Aoiz?
- The Footlab model makes Cirbonero the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Aoiz.
- Where and when is Cirbonero vs Aoiz played?
- Cirbonero vs Aoiz is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Juan, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.