APEA vs Anagennisi Deryneia: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Koinotiko Gipedo Akrotriou, Limassol
The Footlab model makes Anagennisi Deryneia the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for APEA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APEA vs Anagennisi Deryneia?
Anagennisi Deryneia starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,598).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APEA have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Anagennisi Deryneia have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Spartakos Kitiou(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Halkanoras(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ahironas / Onisilos(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 22, 2026 | AEN(away) | 4-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ermis(home) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 APEA win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Anagennisi Deryneia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Anagennisi Deryneia 2-1 APEA | 3. Division |
| Feb 17, 2024 | APEA 2-1 Anagennisi Deryneia | 3. Division |
| Dec 20, 2023 | APEA 2-1 Anagennisi Deryneia | 3. Division |
Last archived meeting: Anagennisi Deryneia vs APEA on Apr 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
APEA score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Anagennisi Deryneia score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APEA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Anagennisi Deryneia | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | APEA | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APEA vs Anagennisi Deryneia?
- The Footlab model makes Anagennisi Deryneia the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for APEA.
- Where and when is APEA vs Anagennisi Deryneia played?
- APEA vs Anagennisi Deryneia is played on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Koinotiko Gipedo Akrotriou, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.