Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab AI model makes Ermis the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Iraklis Yerolakkou. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ermis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,600 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Ermis (1,612) and Iraklis Yerolakkou (1,561).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ermis
4-3-1-2- DD. Paroutis
- 9A. Papathanasiou
- AA. Bruce
- AA. Karamoko
- SS. Kafataris
- 77I. Georghiou
- JJ. Boom
- TT. Liasides
- NN. Achahbar
- CC. Charalampous
- AA. Chrysostomou
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Not enough data to predict the Iraklis Yerolakkou lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 09:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ermis have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Iraklis Yerolakkou have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | APEA(away) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Polemidion(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Enosis(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Oct 10, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Halkanoras(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ermis wins, 0 draws, 1 Iraklis Yerolakkou win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Iraklis Yerolakkou 2-0 Ermis | 3. Division |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Ermis 1-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3. Division |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Ermis 2-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3. Division |
Last archived meeting: Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ermis on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ermis score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Iraklis Yerolakkou score 1.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ermis | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Iraklis Yerolakkou | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ermis sit 5th in 2. Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Iraklis Yerolakkou sit 9th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ermis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
A question about Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ermis the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Iraklis Yerolakkou.
- Where and when is Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou played?
- Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou is played on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.