Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab model makes Ermis the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Iraklis Yerolakkou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Ermis (1,604) and Iraklis Yerolakkou (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ermis have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Iraklis Yerolakkou have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASPIS(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | AEP Polemidion(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Anagennisi Deryneia(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Halkanoras(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | APEA(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Digenis Morphou(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ermis win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Iraklis Yerolakkou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Iraklis Yerolakkou 2-0 Ermis | 3. Division |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Ermis 1-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3. Division |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Ermis 2-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3. Division |
Last archived meeting: Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Ermis on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ermis score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Iraklis Yerolakkou score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ermis | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Iraklis Yerolakkou | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
- The Footlab model makes Ermis the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Iraklis Yerolakkou.
- Where and when is Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou played?
- Ermis vs Iraklis Yerolakkou is played on December 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.