Apollon Kalyt. vs Ethnikos Piraeus: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 8Group 8 - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ethnikos Piraeus the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Apollon Kalyt.. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ethnikos Piraeus wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,192 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apollon Kalyt. vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Ethnikos Piraeus starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,565).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Apollon Kalyt. vs Ethnikos Piraeus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Apollon Kalyt.
Not enough data to predict the Apollon Kalyt. lineup.
Ethnikos Piraeus
Not enough data to predict the Ethnikos Piraeus lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 10:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Kalyt. have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ethnikos Piraeus have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Proodeftiki(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Diagoras(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Afantou(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ionikos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Apollon Smirnis(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Afantou(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ionikos(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Apollon Smirnis(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vyrona(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Egaleo(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Kalyt. score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Piraeus score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Kalyt. | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Ethnikos Piraeus | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apollon Kalyt. sit 12th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (0 points from 2 matches) and Ethnikos Piraeus sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ethnikos Piraeus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Apollon Kalyt. | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
A question about Apollon Kalyt. vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apollon Kalyt. vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ethnikos Piraeus the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Apollon Kalyt..
- Where and when is Apollon Kalyt. vs Ethnikos Piraeus played?
- Apollon Kalyt. vs Ethnikos Piraeus is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.