Egaleo vs Diagoras: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 8Group 8 - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Stavros Mavrothalassitis, Athens
The Footlab AI model makes Egaleo the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Diagoras. The most likely score is 1-1. If Egaleo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egaleo vs Diagoras?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Egaleo (1,701) and Diagoras (1,634).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Egaleo vs Diagoras
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Egaleo
Not enough data to predict the Egaleo lineup.
Diagoras
4-3-3- 7R. Salinas
- 33M. Manias
- 9T. Lioumis
- 10V. Tsiantoulas
- 21R. Bregu
- 17N. Daoudou M'Sa
- 4K. Chnaris
- 3S. Dimopoulos
- 19T. Olivieri
- 77G. Manolakis
- 75A. Tsilingiris
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egaleo have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Diagoras have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethnikos Piraeus(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ialysos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Apollon Kalyt.(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ilioupoli(away) | 3-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Panargiakos(away) | 2-3 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Afantou(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ionikos(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Apollon Smirnis(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Karystos(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Asteras Kaisarianis(away) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Egaleo win, 2 draws, 3 Diagoras wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2024 | Diagoras 1-1 Egaleo | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2024 | Egaleo 1-1 Diagoras | Super League 2 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Egaleo 4-1 Diagoras | Super League 2 |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Egaleo 0-2 Diagoras | Cup |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Diagoras 2-1 Egaleo | Super League 2 |
| May 1, 2022 | Egaleo 1-2 Diagoras | Super League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Egaleo score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Diagoras score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egaleo | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Diagoras | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egaleo sit 1st in Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (6 points from 2 matches) and Diagoras sit 9th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egaleo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Diagoras | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Egaleo vs Diagoras?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egaleo vs Diagoras?
- The Footlab AI model makes Egaleo the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Diagoras.
- Where and when is Egaleo vs Diagoras played?
- Egaleo vs Diagoras is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Stavros Mavrothalassitis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.