Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Apoel Nicosia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Apollon Limassol (1,956) and Apoel Nicosia (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apollon Limassol have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Apoel Nicosia have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Brann(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dila(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Dila(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Apollon Limassol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Apoel Nicosia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 2-0 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia 0-0 Apollon Limassol | Cup |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 4-2 Apoel Nicosia | Cup |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia 2-3 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Apollon Limassol 2-1 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 2-0 Apollon Limassol | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Apollon Limassol score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Apoel Nicosia score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Limassol | 1.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Apoel Nicosia | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Apollon Limassol sit 3rd in 1. Division (67 points from 36 matches) and Apoel Nicosia sit 5th (52 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 67 |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia?
- The Footlab model makes Apollon Limassol the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Apoel Nicosia.
- Where and when is Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia played?
- Apollon Limassol vs Apoel Nicosia is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Alphamega Stadium, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.