Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Makareio Stadio, Lefkosía
The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Omonia 29is Maiou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca?
AEK Larnaca is a heavy favourite: 2,011 Elo points against 1,689 — a 322-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Omonia 29is Maiou have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(away) | 3-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Doxa(home) | 5-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 3-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Beitar Jerusalem(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Omonia 29is Maiou win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 AEK Larnaca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | AEK Larnaca 2-0 Omonia 29is Maiou | 1. Division |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Omonia 29is Maiou 1-5 AEK Larnaca | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: AEK Larnaca vs Omonia 29is Maiou on Mar 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Omonia 29is Maiou score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 2.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 62 | 33 | 69 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca?
- The Footlab model makes AEK Larnaca the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Omonia 29is Maiou.
- Where and when is Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca played?
- Omonia 29is Maiou vs AEK Larnaca is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Makareio Stadio, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.