APR vs Bugesera: result 2-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on May 11, 2021 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Huye, Butare
Full time
What was the result of APR vs Bugesera?
APR won 2-1 on May 11, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 18′?APR
- 55′?Bugesera
- 73′Thierry ManziAPR
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APR have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Bugesera have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | Bugesera(away) | 3-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2021 | Muhanga(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 2, 2021 | Gorilla(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 11, 2020 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 5, 2020 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-3 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | APR(home) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2021 | Gorilla(away) | 2-3 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 10, 2020 | Police(home) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 4, 2020 | Espoir(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Mukura(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 APR win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bugesera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | Bugesera 0-3 APR | National Soccer League |
| Jan 12, 2020 | APR 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Oct 8, 2019 | Bugesera 0-1 APR | National Soccer League |
| Apr 27, 2019 | APR 3-0 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Bugesera 1-1 APR | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
APR score 1.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bugesera score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APR | 1.9 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Bugesera | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APR sit 2nd in National Soccer League (68 points from 34 matches) and Bugesera sit 9th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 68 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy