Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS: result 1-0 and analysis
Sul-Matogrossense1st Round - 4Kick-off on February 16, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio da Noroeste, Aquidauana, Mato Grosso do Sul
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What was the result of Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS?
Aquidauanense won 1-0 on February 16, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Aquidauanense have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Comercial MS have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Operario Ferroviario(away) | 2-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 6, 2020 | ABC(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Chapadão(home) | 3-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Chapadão(away) | 1-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 6, 2020 | Maracaju(home) | 3-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Águia Negra(home) | 1-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Jul 15, 2017 | Ceilândia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 9, 2017 | Ceilândia(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Aquidauanense score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 3; Comercial MS score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aquidauanense | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| Comercial MS | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aquidauanense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 4 |
A question about Aquidauanense vs Comercial MS?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy