Aragua FC vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Hermanos Ghersi Páez, Maracay
The Footlab model makes Aragua FC the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aragua FC vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Aragua FC (1,494) and Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz (1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aragua FC have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mineros de Guyana(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Fundación Lara Deportiva(home) | 0-1 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Avila FC(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Petare FC(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Petare FC(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 2-1 | Copa Venezuela |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atletico Avila FC(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mineros de Guyana(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aragua FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz 1-2 Aragua FC | Segunda División |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Aragua FC 1-1 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | Segunda División |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Aragua FC 1-1 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | Segunda División |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz 1-0 Aragua FC | Segunda División |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz 4-1 Aragua FC | Copa Venezuela |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Aragua FC 1-3 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | Copa Venezuela |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz vs Aragua FC on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aragua FC score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragua FC | 0.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aragua FC sit 6th in Segunda División (20 points from 14 matches) and Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz sit 5th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 25 |
| 5 | Aragua FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 20 |
| 6 | Aragua FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aragua FC vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Aragua FC the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz.
- Where and when is Aragua FC vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz played?
- Aragua FC vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Hermanos Ghersi Páez, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.