Arambagh vs Fakirerpool: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Mymensingh Stadium, Mymensingh
The Footlab AI model makes Arambagh the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fakirerpool. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arambagh wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arambagh vs Fakirerpool?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Arambagh (1,172) and Fakirerpool (1,170).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arambagh vs Fakirerpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arambagh
4-3-3- 7S. R. Khan
- 20M. Pradhan
- 11K. Kizito
- 14S. Joy Tanchangy
- 40A. Cishty
- 15Joy Kumar
- 2M. Rocky
- 5Mahamudul Kiron
- 4Mohammed Suleman
- 12N. Uddin
- 1A. Hossen
Fakirerpool
4-3-3- 69B. Ouattara
- 98Anik Hossain Siam
- 80H. Arian
- 7Sagor Hossain
- 98M. Kahraba
- 7M. S. Islam
- 33M. Fofana
- 5R. Islam
- 2M. Shanto
- 16Y. Mia
- 1M. Sanju Ahamed
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arambagh have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Fakirerpool have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka(away) | 1-3 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rahmatgonj MFS(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bashundhara Kings(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Abahani(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 1-4 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangladesh Police(away) | 0-8 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fortis(away) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dhaka Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Arambagh wins, 2 draws, 0 Fakirerpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Arambagh 1-1 Fakirerpool | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Fakirerpool 1-1 Arambagh | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Arambagh vs Fakirerpool on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arambagh score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fakirerpool score 0.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arambagh | 0.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Fakirerpool | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arambagh sit 9th in Premier League (14 points from 18 matches) and Fakirerpool sit 10th (10 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arambagh | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 28 | 14 |
| 10 | Fakirerpool | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 44 | 10 |
A question about Arambagh vs Fakirerpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arambagh vs Fakirerpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arambagh the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Fakirerpool.
- Where and when is Arambagh vs Fakirerpool played?
- Arambagh vs Fakirerpool is played on December 19, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Mymensingh Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.