Abahani vs Mohammedan Dhaka: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, Gopalganj
The Footlab AI model makes Mohammedan Dhaka the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Abahani. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mohammedan Dhaka wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abahani vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
On Elo ratings, Abahani has 1,539 points and Mohammedan Dhaka 1,530.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Abahani vs Mohammedan Dhaka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Abahani
4-3-3- 77A. Moin
- 9Al-Amin
- 23M. Islam
- 15R. Hasan
- 18Nazmul Huda Faysal
- 12Michael Babatunde
- 13K. Islam
- 4Y. Khan
- 3M. Bablu
- 2H. Murad
- 1Mahfuz Pritom
Mohammedan Dhaka
4-3-3- 10S. Diabate
- 77A. Hossain
- 99S. Emon
- 17M. Muzaffarov
- 6M. Miah Zoni
- 21S. Hossain
- 3M. J. Hasan Shanta
- 55E. T. Agbaji
- 98R. Mia
- 22S. Uddin
- 23A. Rahman
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abahani have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Mohammedan Dhaka have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dhaka Wanderers(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Arambagh(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arambagh(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Arambagh(home) | 3-1 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Fakirerpool(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Brothers Union(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Abahani wins, 1 draw, 3 Mohammedan Dhaka wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Abahani 2-1 Mohammedan Dhaka | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Mohammedan Dhaka 3-2 Abahani | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Abahani 0-0 Mohammedan Dhaka | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Abahani 1-0 Mohammedan Dhaka | Federation Cup |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Mohammedan Dhaka 1-0 Abahani | Premier League |
| May 29, 2024 | Abahani 1-2 Mohammedan Dhaka | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Abahani vs Mohammedan Dhaka on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Abahani score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mohammedan Dhaka score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abahani | 2.0 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Mohammedan Dhaka | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abahani sit 2nd in Premier League (37 points from 18 matches) and Mohammedan Dhaka sit 5th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Abahani | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 37 |
| 5 | Mohammedan Dhaka | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 23 |
A question about Abahani vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abahani vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mohammedan Dhaka the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Abahani.
- Where and when is Abahani vs Mohammedan Dhaka played?
- Abahani vs Mohammedan Dhaka is played on December 19, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.