Aranova vs Sarnese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sarnese the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Aranova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarnese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aranova vs Sarnese?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Aranova (1,702) and Sarnese (1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aranova vs Sarnese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aranova
Not enough data to predict the Aranova lineup.
Sarnese
Not enough data to predict the Sarnese lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Aranova have 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Sarnese have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trastevere(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Certosa V. Campagnano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Monastir(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Albalonga(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ossese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Venafro(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Aranova score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 7; Sarnese score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aranova | 1.1 | 1.0 | 3 | 4/7 | 3/7 |
| Sarnese | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aranova sit 13th in Serie D - Girone G (6 points from 6 matches) and Sarnese sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 13 | Aranova | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Aranova vs Sarnese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aranova vs Sarnese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarnese the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Aranova.
- Where and when is Aranova vs Sarnese played?
- Aranova vs Sarnese is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.