Ararat vs Van: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Van. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ararat wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat vs Van?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Ararat (1,490) and Van (1,535).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ararat vs Van
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ararat
4-3-3- 7P. Handzongo
- 30A. Aslanyan
- 17E. Movsesyan
- 10A. Grigoryan
- 6O. Chukwu
- 8P. Alekyan
- 3A. Khachumyan
- 18Malick Berte
- 55G. Lima
- 33V. Haroyan
- 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou
Van
4-3-3- 10N. Manukyan
- 17S. Khalil
- 38T. Gevorgyan
- 7P. Avetisyan
- 91Danylo Polonskyi
- 36V. Makhsudyan
- 2J. Torres
- 33T. Voskanyan
- 13A. Gomes
- 23I. I. Daniel
- 45D. Bokov
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Van have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Urartu(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gandzasar(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | BKMA(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ararat wins, 0 draws, 4 Van wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ararat 1-2 Van | Premier League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Van 1-2 Ararat | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Van 1-0 Ararat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ararat 0-1 Van | Premier League |
| May 8, 2025 | Ararat 2-1 Van | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Van 4-0 Ararat | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Van score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Van | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat sit 8th in Premier League (10 points from 9 matches) and Van sit 10th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ararat | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 10 |
| 10 | Van | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Ararat vs Van?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat vs Van?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Van.
- Where and when is Ararat vs Van played?
- Ararat vs Van is played on March 19, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.