Ararat vs Van: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, Yerevan
The Footlab model makes Ararat the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Van. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat vs Van?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Ararat (1,474) and Van (1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Van have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Andranik(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ararat win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Van win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ararat 1-2 Van | Premier League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Van 1-2 Ararat | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Van 1-0 Ararat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ararat 0-1 Van | Premier League |
| May 8, 2025 | Ararat 2-1 Van | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Van 4-0 Ararat | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Van score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Van | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat sit 9th in Premier League (3 points from 4 matches) and Van sit 12th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ararat | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Van | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat vs Van?
- The Footlab model makes Ararat the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Van.
- Where and when is Ararat vs Van played?
- Ararat vs Van is played on March 19, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.