Van vs Ararat: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Charentsavan City Stadium, Charentsavan
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Van. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ararat wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Van vs Ararat?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Van (1,526) and Ararat (1,482).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Van vs Ararat
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Van
4-3-3- 10N. Manukyan
- 17S. Khalil
- 38T. Gevorgyan
- 36V. Makhsudyan
- 7P. Avetisyan
- 19V. Minasyan
- 2J. Torres
- 13A. Gomes
- 23I. I. Daniel
- 25E. Mensah
- 45D. Bokov
Ararat
4-3-3- 7P. Handzongo
- 30A. Aslanyan
- 17E. Movsesyan
- 8P. Alekyan
- 10A. Grigoryan
- 6O. Chukwu
- 18Malick Berte
- 3A. Khachumyan
- 55G. Lima
- 33V. Haroyan
- 1A. Anzimati-Aboudou
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Van have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Ararat have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | BKMA(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Shirak(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Syunik(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gandzasar(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Van wins, 0 draws, 2 Ararat wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ararat 1-2 Van | Premier League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Van 1-2 Ararat | Premier League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Van 1-0 Ararat | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ararat 0-1 Van | Premier League |
| May 8, 2025 | Ararat 2-1 Van | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Van 4-0 Ararat | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Van score 0.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Ararat | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Van sit 10th in Premier League (4 points from 8 matches) and Ararat sit 8th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ararat | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 9 |
| 10 | Van | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 4 |
A question about Van vs Ararat?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Van vs Ararat?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Van.
- Where and when is Van vs Ararat played?
- Van vs Ararat is played on October 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Charentsavan City Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.