Araz vs Neftchi Baku: result 2-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 26, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, Nakchivan
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What was the result of Araz vs Neftchi Baku?
Araz won 2-1 on January 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 29′WandersonAraz
- 64′Ramon MachadoAraz
- 68′F. OzobićNeftchi Baku
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Araz have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Zira(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Qarabag(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Səbail(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Mingəçevir(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Sabah FA(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Turan(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Kapaz(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Sumqayıt(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Difai Ağsu(home) | 6-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Araz win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Neftchi Baku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 0-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Araz 1-1 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Neftchi Baku 3-0 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Araz 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Neftchi Baku 1-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Araz 1-0 Neftchi Baku | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Araz score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 1.4 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Araz sit 9th in Premyer Liqa (1 points from 2 matches) and Neftchi Baku sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Araz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy