Araz vs Qarabag: result 2-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 30, 2023 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu, Baku
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What was the result of Araz vs Qarabag?
Araz won 2-1 on October 30, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 75′O. ƏliyevAraz (pen.)
- 90′E. MashikeAraz
- 90′JuninhoQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Araz have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Qarabag have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2023 | Qabala(away) | 4-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Sabah FA(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Zira(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Səbail(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Turan(away) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 5, 2023 | BK Hacken(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Sumqayıt(home) | 5-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Araz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2023 | Qarabag 2-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Araz score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Araz sit 9th in Premyer Liqa (1 points from 2 matches) and Qarabag sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Araz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy