Arbroath vs Dunfermline: result 1-5 and analysis
Challenge Cup4th RoundKick-off on December 9, 2022 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
Full time
What was the result of Arbroath vs Dunfermline?
Dunfermline won 1-5 on December 9, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 6′K. MacDonaldDunfermline
- 19′M. ToddDunfermline
- 22′K. BenedictusDunfermline
- 36′M. ToddDunfermline
- 68′C. WightonDunfermline
- 74′T. O'BrienArbroath
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dunfermline have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | Morton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Fraserburgh(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Partick(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Cove Rangers(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Inverness CT(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | Queen of the South(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Peterhead(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Nov 15, 2022 | Celtic II(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Clyde(home) | 2-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Arbroath win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dunfermline win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | Arbroath 1-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2021 | Dunfermline 0-3 Arbroath | Championship |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Arbroath 4-2 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Dunfermline 0-3 Arbroath | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Dunfermline 4-3 Arbroath | Championship |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Arbroath 2-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Arbroath vs Dunfermline on Mar 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dunfermline score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Dunfermline | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy