Ards vs Institute: result 0-1 and analysis
PremiershipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 5, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
Full time
What was the result of Ards vs Institute?
Institute won 0-1 on October 5, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 90′A. JarvisInstitute
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ards have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Institute have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Glenavon FC(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Coleraine FC(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Linfield(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Crusaders FC(home) | 1-4 | Premiership |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Glentoran(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Glenavon FC(home) | 1-4 | Premiership |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Ards score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Institute score 1.8 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ards | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Institute | 1.8 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy