Ards vs Warrenpoint Town: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
The Footlab AI model makes Ards the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Warrenpoint Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ards wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ards vs Warrenpoint Town?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Ards (1,394) and Warrenpoint Town (1,345).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ards vs Warrenpoint Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ards
Not enough data to predict the Ards lineup.
Warrenpoint Town
Not enough data to predict the Warrenpoint Town lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ards have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Warrenpoint Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 6-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ards wins, 1 draw, 1 Warrenpoint Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town 1-3 Ards | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town 0-1 Ards | Championship |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ards 3-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Ards 0-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Warrenpoint Town 2-0 Ards | Championship |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Ards 1-0 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Warrenpoint Town vs Ards on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ards score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warrenpoint Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ards | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Warrenpoint Town | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ards sit 8th in Championship (52 points from 38 matches) and Warrenpoint Town sit 9th (41 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
A question about Ards vs Warrenpoint Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ards vs Warrenpoint Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ards the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Warrenpoint Town.
- Where and when is Ards vs Warrenpoint Town played?
- Ards vs Warrenpoint Town is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bangor Fuels Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.