H&W Welders vs Newry City AFC: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blanchflower Stadium, Belfast
The Footlab model makes H&W Welders the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Newry City AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win H&W Welders vs Newry City AFC?
H&W Welders starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,434 vs 1,244).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, H&W Welders have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Newry City AFC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Queen's University(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 H&W Welders win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Newry City AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | H&W Welders 4-1 Newry City AFC | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Newry City AFC 2-2 H&W Welders | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | H&W Welders 2-1 Newry City AFC | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2023 | H&W Welders 1-2 Newry City AFC | League Cup |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Newry City AFC 1-2 H&W Welders | Irish Cup |
| Apr 19, 2022 | H&W Welders 0-3 Newry City AFC | Championship |
Last archived meeting: H&W Welders vs Newry City AFC on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
H&W Welders score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newry City AFC score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H&W Welders | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Newry City AFC | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
H&W Welders sit 2nd in Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Newry City AFC sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | H&W Welders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 87 | 48 | 66 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 77 | 41 | 59 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for H&W Welders vs Newry City AFC?
- The Footlab model makes H&W Welders the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Newry City AFC.
- Where and when is H&W Welders vs Newry City AFC played?
- H&W Welders vs Newry City AFC is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blanchflower Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.