Arema FC vs Persija: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 29Kick-off on May 4, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen
The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arema FC vs Persija?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and Persija (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Persija have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 3-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 4-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Port FC(away) | 2-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arema FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Persija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija 3-1 Arema FC | Piala Presiden |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Persija 0-2 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Arema FC 1-2 Persija | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Persija score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Persija | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Persija sit 3rd (71 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Persija | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 71 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Persija?
- The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Arema FC.
- Where and when is Arema FC vs Persija played?
- Arema FC vs Persija is played on May 4, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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