Persija vs Arema FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Patriot, Bekasi
The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persija vs Arema FC?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Persija (1,841) and Arema FC (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persija have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 3-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 4-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Port FC(away) | 2-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Persija win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arema FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija 3-1 Arema FC | Piala Presiden |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Persija 0-2 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Arema FC 1-2 Persija | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Persija score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persija | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persija sit 3rd in Liga 1 (71 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Persija | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 71 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persija vs Arema FC?
- The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Arema FC.
- Where and when is Persija vs Arema FC played?
- Persija vs Arema FC is played on October 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Patriot, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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