Match

Persija vs Arema FC: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Patriot, Bekasi

PersijaArema FC

The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Persija vs Arema FC?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Persija (1,841) and Arema FC (1,747).

Persija win64 %
Draw21 %
Arema FC win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persija have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Persija
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Arema FC(home)3-1Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persib Bandung(away)1-2Piala Presiden
Aug 1, 2026PSMS Medan(home)4-1Piala Presiden
Jul 29, 2026Port FC(away)2-2Piala Presiden
Jul 26, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Persija win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arema FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija 3-1 Arema FCPiala Presiden
Feb 8, 2026Persija 0-2 Arema FCLiga 1
Nov 8, 2025Arema FC 1-2 PersijaLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Persija vs Arema FC on Aug 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Persija score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Persija2.11.059/1510/15
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Persija sit 3rd in Liga 1 (71 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Persija342257652971
9Arema FC3413912534748

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Persija vs Arema FC?
The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Arema FC.
Where and when is Persija vs Arema FC played?
Persija vs Arema FC is played on October 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Patriot, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Persija and Arema FC

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