Match

Arema FC vs Persita: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen

Arema FCPersita

The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Persita. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arema FC vs Persita?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and Persita (1,676).

Arema FC win51 %
Draw26 %
Persita win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Persita have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arema FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persija(away)1-3Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026DPMM FC Brunei(home)2-0Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026Persib Bandung(away)0-1Piala Presiden
Persita
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Persis Solo(home)1-3Liga 1
May 16, 2026Malut United(away)1-1Liga 1
May 10, 2026Persijap(home)0-3Liga 1
May 5, 2026Pusamania Borneo(away)0-2Liga 1
Apr 30, 2026PSIM Yogyakarta(away)1-0Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arema FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Persita win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Persita 0-1 Arema FCLiga 1
Dec 30, 2025Arema FC 0-1 PersitaLiga 1
Apr 20, 2025Persita 3-2 Arema FCLiga 1
Dec 3, 2024Arema FC 3-0 PersitaLiga 1
Mar 13, 2024Persita 4-3 Arema FCLiga 1
Sep 16, 2023Arema FC 0-0 PersitaLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Persita vs Arema FC on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Persita score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arema FC1.51.357/158/15
Persita0.91.315/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Persita sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Arema FC3413912534748
10Persita3413615383745

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Persita?
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Persita.
Where and when is Arema FC vs Persita played?
Arema FC vs Persita is played on December 27, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arema FC and Persita

Ready to know everything about football?