Arema FC vs Persita: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 17Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Persita. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arema FC vs Persita?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and Persita (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Persita have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persis Solo(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Malut United(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arema FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Persita win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Persita 0-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Arema FC 0-1 Persita | Liga 1 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Persita 3-2 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Arema FC 3-0 Persita | Liga 1 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Persita 4-3 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Arema FC 0-0 Persita | Liga 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Persita score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Persita | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Persita sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Persita?
- The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Persita.
- Where and when is Arema FC vs Persita played?
- Arema FC vs Persita is played on December 27, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Malut UnitedvsDewa United
- Dec 26, 2026Bali UnitedvsPersebaya Surabaya
- Dec 26, 2026PersijapvsPSM Makassar
- Dec 26, 2026GarudayaksavsAdhyaksa
- Dec 26, 2026PSS SlemanvsPersija
- Dec 27, 2026Pusamania BorneovsPersepam Madura Utd
- Dec 27, 2026Bhayangkara FCvsPersik Kediri
- Dec 27, 2026Persib BandungvsPSIM Yogyakarta