Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Imam Khomeini Stadium, Eslamshahr
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 35% for Ario Eslamshahr, 36% for a draw, 29% for Saipa. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,151 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Ario Eslamshahr (1,559) and Saipa (1,605).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ario Eslamshahr
Not enough data to predict the Ario Eslamshahr lineup.
Saipa
4-3-3- 9A. Hosseinzadeh
- 11M. Aliyari
- 80R. Seifollahi
- 77M. Barani
- 73S. Moridi
- 66M. Abdi
- 13H. Mahini
- 3K. Nikkhoui
- 23F. Jafari
- 5R. Aliari
- 97Masoud Pourmohammad
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 07:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ario Eslamshahr have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Saipa have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Fard Alborz(home) | 0-3 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Pars Jonoubi JAM(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(home) | 4-0 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(home) | 2-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Mes Rafsanjan(away) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Naft Masjed Soleyman(away) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm(home) | 0-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Shahin Bandar Ameri(away) | 0-2 | Azadegan League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ario Eslamshahr win, 1 draw, 4 Saipa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Saipa 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr | Azadegan League |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Ario Eslamshahr 0-1 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Saipa 1-1 Ario Eslamshahr | Azadegan League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Ario Eslamshahr 0-1 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Ario Eslamshahr 2-0 Saipa | Azadegan League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Saipa 3-0 Ario Eslamshahr | Azadegan League |
Last archived meeting: Saipa vs Ario Eslamshahr on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ario Eslamshahr score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Saipa score 0.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ario Eslamshahr | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Saipa | 0.8 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ario Eslamshahr sit 7th in Azadegan League (12 points from 8 matches) and Saipa sit 11th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ario Eslamshahr | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Saipa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 35% for Ario Eslamshahr, 36% for a draw, 29% for Saipa.
- Where and when is Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa played?
- Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa is played on November 16, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Imam Khomeini Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.