Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Novin Ahvaz: prediction and stats
Azadegan LeagueMatchday 10Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Takhti Stadium, Jam
The Footlab AI model makes Pars Jonoubi JAM the favourite at 56%, against 30% for a draw and 14% for Novin Ahvaz. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,335 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Novin Ahvaz?
Pars Jonoubi JAM starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,683 vs 1,539).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Novin Ahvaz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pars Jonoubi JAM
Not enough data to predict the Pars Jonoubi JAM lineup.
Novin Ahvaz
Not enough data to predict the Novin Ahvaz lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pars Jonoubi JAM have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Novin Ahvaz have 2, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(home) | 4-1 | Azadegan League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Mes Rafsanjan(away) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(away) | 2-1 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Naft Gachsaran(home) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Ario Eslamshahr(home) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Naft Bandar Abbas(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Be'sat Kermanshah(home) | 0-0 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Havadar(away) | 1-0 | Azadegan League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Naft Masjed Soleyman(home) | 1-1 | Azadegan League |
How many goals should we expect?
Pars Jonoubi JAM score 1.6 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Novin Ahvaz score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pars Jonoubi JAM | 1.6 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Novin Ahvaz | 0.9 | 0.8 | 4 | 4/9 | 2/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pars Jonoubi JAM sit 1st in Azadegan League (21 points from 9 matches) and Novin Ahvaz sit 9th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Novin Ahvaz | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
A question about Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Novin Ahvaz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Novin Ahvaz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pars Jonoubi JAM the favourite at 56%, against 30% for a draw and 14% for Novin Ahvaz.
- Where and when is Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Novin Ahvaz played?
- Pars Jonoubi JAM vs Novin Ahvaz is played on November 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Takhti Stadium, in the Azadegan League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.