Aris Thessalonikis vs Kalamata: prediction and stats
Super League 1Matchday 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis, Thessaloníki
The Footlab AI model makes Aris Thessalonikis the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Kalamata. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aris Thessalonikis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,708 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aris Thessalonikis vs Kalamata?
On Elo ratings, Aris Thessalonikis has 2,036 points and Kalamata 2,009.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aris Thessalonikis vs Kalamata
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aris Thessalonikis
4-2-3-1- 9T. Kadewere
- 18M. Hongla
- 7B. Garré
- 8C. Kouamé
- 10U. Račić
- 70G. Gianniotas
- 4Fabiano
- 2J. Pétris
- 3O. Richards
- 97F. Jensen
- 33Ricardo Velho
Kalamata
4-2-3-1- 91D. Kurminowski
- 20A. Mendes Moreira
- 24E. Hamza
- 10A. Sigurðsson
- 6D. Diarra
- 23G. Piñeiro
- 97Rodrigues
- 4S. Stroungis
- 22P. Kaloutsikidis
- 17Julio Alonso
- 1I. Gelios
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris Thessalonikis have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Kalamata have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Panetolikos(home) | 3-0 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 0-3 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(away) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-5 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | OFI(home) | 4-3 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Aris Thessalonikis win, 0 draws, 0 Kalamata wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kalamata 2-3 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Kalamata vs Aris Thessalonikis on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aris Thessalonikis score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kalamata score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Kalamata | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aris Thessalonikis sit 5th in Super League 1 (19 points from 10 matches) and Kalamata sit 8th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Aris Thessalonikis vs Kalamata?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aris Thessalonikis vs Kalamata?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aris Thessalonikis the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Kalamata.
- Where and when is Aris Thessalonikis vs Kalamata played?
- Aris Thessalonikis vs Kalamata is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.