Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Peristeriou, Athens
The Footlab model makes Atromitos the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Asteras Tripolis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Atromitos (1,866) and Asteras Tripolis (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atromitos have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Asteras Tripolis have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Pyrgos 1968(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aris(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Panserraikos(home) | 6-0 | Super League 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Larisa(away) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 1-3 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atromitos win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Asteras Tripolis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis 4-2 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atromitos 2-1 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Atromitos 0-1 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Atromitos 0-0 Asteras Tripolis | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2025 | Asteras Tripolis 1-4 Atromitos | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atromitos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Tripolis score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Asteras Tripolis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atromitos sit 10th in Super League 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and Asteras Tripolis sit 11th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atromitos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis?
- The Footlab model makes Atromitos the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Asteras Tripolis.
- Where and when is Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis played?
- Atromitos vs Asteras Tripolis is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Peristeriou, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.