Aris vs AEL: result 0-1 and analysis
CupRound of 16Kick-off on January 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Full time
What was the result of Aris vs AEL?
AEL won 0-1 on January 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 90′Sérgio ConceiçãoAEL (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aris have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; AEL have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Jan 10, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Olympiakos(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Dec 22, 2025 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Olympiakos(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Aris win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 AEL win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Aris 4-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Aris 4-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Nov 24, 2024 | AEL 0-3 Aris | 1. Division |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Aris 4-0 AEL | 1. Division |
| Dec 4, 2023 | AEL 0-4 Aris | 1. Division |
| Dec 11, 2022 | AEL 0-0 Aris | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aris score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; AEL score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris | 1.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| AEL | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy