Arkadag vs Ahal: result 4-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on March 30, 2024 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ahal merkezi sport toplumy, Arkadag şäheri
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What was the result of Arkadag vs Ahal?
Arkadag won 4-1 on March 30, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arkadag have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Ahal have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Nebitci(home) | 5-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Dnipro-1(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Şagadam(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Merw(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 4, 2024 | Energetik(home) | 5-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Rīgas FS(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2024 | Oleksandria(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Arkadag win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ahal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | Arkadag 2-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Ahal 2-3 Arkadag | Ýokary Liga |
| May 26, 2023 | Arkadag 5-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arkadag score 3.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkadag | 3.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 13/15 |
| Ahal | 1.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arkadag sit 1st in Ýokary Liga (84 points from 28 matches) and Ahal sit 2nd (55 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkadag | 28 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 15 | 84 |
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy