Arles vs Tarbes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 30, 2016 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arles have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Tarbes have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2015 | Martigues(home) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Monaco II(away) | 1-5 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2015 | PAU(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2015 | Nice II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Hyères(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2016 | Marignane US(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 9, 2016 | Le Pontet US(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Stade Montois(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Sète(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Aviron Bayonnais(home) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Arles score 0.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tarbes score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arles | 0.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Tarbes | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy