Tarbes vs Pontivy GSI: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 11Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, Tarbes
The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Pontivy GSI. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,979 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarbes vs Pontivy GSI?
On Elo ratings, Tarbes has 1,762 points and Pontivy GSI 1,768.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tarbes vs Pontivy GSI
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Pontivy GSI
4-3-3- 9H. Guimard
- 11A. Laraba
- 7K. Liri
- 8Y. Le Gal
- 6M. Jegat
- 20E. Le Goff
- 2C. Mangan
- 3S. Welsh
- 4A. Le Callonnec
- 5T. Clemence
- 1K. Le Corvaisier
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarbes have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Pontivy GSI have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lorient II(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tarbes win, 0 draws, 1 Pontivy GSI win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | Tarbes 2-1 Pontivy GSI | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Pontivy GSI 2-1 Tarbes | National 2 - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Tarbes vs Pontivy GSI on Mar 21, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Tarbes score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pontivy GSI score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarbes | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Pontivy GSI | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarbes sit 10th in National 2 - Group B (9 points from 7 matches) and Pontivy GSI sit 14th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tarbes | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 14 | Pontivy GSI | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Tarbes vs Pontivy GSI?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarbes vs Pontivy GSI?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tarbes the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Pontivy GSI.
- Where and when is Tarbes vs Pontivy GSI played?
- Tarbes vs Pontivy GSI is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.