Arlesey Town vs East Thurrock United: result 1-2 and analysis
FA Trophy2nd Round Qualifying ReplaysKick-off on November 18, 2014 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Armadillo Stadium, Arlesey, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Arlesey Town vs East Thurrock United?
East Thurrock United won 1-2 on November 18, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arlesey Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; East Thurrock United have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | East Thurrock United(away) | 4-4 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Biggleswade Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Whitehawk(home) | 1-5 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Marlow(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | Arlesey Town(home) | 4-4 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 8, 2014 | Hartlepool(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 4, 2014 | Hungerford Town(home) | 4-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Hungerford Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Bath City(home) | 7-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Arlesey Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 East Thurrock United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2014 | East Thurrock United 4-4 Arlesey Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: East Thurrock United vs Arlesey Town on Nov 15, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Arlesey Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; East Thurrock United score 2.4 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arlesey Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| East Thurrock United | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy