Arnedo vs Ebro: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sendero, Arnedo
The Footlab model makes Arnedo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Ebro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arnedo vs Ebro?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Arnedo (1,933) and Ebro (1,908).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arnedo have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Ebro have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 31, 2026 | Oyonesa(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 24, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Arnedo score 2.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ebro score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnedo | 2.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ebro | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42 | 36 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arnedo vs Ebro?
- The Footlab model makes Arnedo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Ebro.
- Where and when is Arnedo vs Ebro played?
- Arnedo vs Ebro is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sendero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.