Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo San Francisco, Tafalla
The Footlab model makes Peña Sport the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for SD Logroñés. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés?
Peña Sport starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,933 vs 1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peña Sport have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; SD Logroñés have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Beti Onak(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Peña Sport win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 SD Logroñés win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2021 | Peña Sport 0-2 SD Logroñés | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés on Jul 31, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Peña Sport score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SD Logroñés score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña Sport | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| SD Logroñés | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SD Logroñés | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés?
- The Footlab model makes Peña Sport the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for SD Logroñés.
- Where and when is Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés played?
- Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.