Arnedo vs UD Logroñés II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sendero, Arnedo
The Footlab model makes Arnedo the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for UD Logroñés II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arnedo vs UD Logroñés II?
UD Logroñés II starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (2,052 vs 1,933).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arnedo have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; UD Logroñés II have 14, 1 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 31, 2026 | Oyonesa(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 24, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Peña Balsamaiso(away) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 3, 2026 | Autol(home) | 8-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arnedo win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 UD Logroñés II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Arnedo 0-2 UD Logroñés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | UD Logroñés II 2-0 Arnedo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Arnedo 1-0 UD Logroñés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | UD Logroñés II 3-2 Arnedo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | UD Logroñés II 4-0 Arnedo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Arnedo 2-0 UD Logroñés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: Arnedo vs UD Logroñés II on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arnedo score 2.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; UD Logroñés II score 4.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnedo | 2.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| UD Logroñés II | 4.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arnedo vs UD Logroñés II?
- The Footlab model makes Arnedo the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for UD Logroñés II.
- Where and when is Arnedo vs UD Logroñés II played?
- Arnedo vs UD Logroñés II is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sendero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.