Match

Peña Sport vs Arnedo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo San Francisco, Tafalla

Peña SportArnedo

The Footlab AI model makes Peña Sport the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arnedo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Peña Sport wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Peña Sport vs Arnedo?

On Elo ratings, Peña Sport has 1,925 points and Arnedo 1,871.

50%27%23%
Peña Sport winDrawArnedo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Peña Sport vs Arnedo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Peña Sport

Not enough data to predict the Peña Sport lineup.

Arnedo

Not enough data to predict the Arnedo lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peña Sport have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Arnedo have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Peña Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Calamocha(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Náxara(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 3, 2026SD Logroñés(home)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 26, 2026Barcelona B(away)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 19, 2026Espanyol II(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Arnedo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Tudelano(home)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Utebo(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Ebro(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 27, 2026Espanyol II(away)0-5Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 20, 2026Terrassa(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Peña Sport score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arnedo score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Peña Sport1.51.3210/157/15
Arnedo1.01.566/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Peña Sport sit 14th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 6 matches) and Arnedo sit 18th (1 point from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Peña Sport6213797
18Arnedo60153161

A question about Peña Sport vs Arnedo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Peña Sport vs Arnedo?
The Footlab AI model makes Peña Sport the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arnedo.
Where and when is Peña Sport vs Arnedo played?
Peña Sport vs Arnedo is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Peña Sport and Arnedo

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