ARO Muscelul Câmpulung vs Baicoi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Baza Sportivă Sola Gratia Dragoslavele, Dragoslavele
The Footlab model makes ARO Muscelul Câmpulung the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Baicoi. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ARO Muscelul Câmpulung vs Baicoi?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate ARO Muscelul Câmpulung (1,482) and Baicoi (1,417).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ARO Muscelul Câmpulung have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Baicoi have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Corona Braşov(away) | 1-1 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Gilortul(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 8, 2026 | Inter Sibiu(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Păușești(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | ACS Mediaş 2022(away) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Berca(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Săcele(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Baicoi score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | 2.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Baicoi | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ARO Muscelul Câmpulung vs Baicoi?
- The Footlab model makes ARO Muscelul Câmpulung the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Baicoi.
- Where and when is ARO Muscelul Câmpulung vs Baicoi played?
- ARO Muscelul Câmpulung vs Baicoi is played on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă Sola Gratia Dragoslavele, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.