Săcele vs Valenii de Munte: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)StadionulPrecizia Săcele, Săcele
The Footlab model makes Săcele the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Valenii de Munte. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Săcele vs Valenii de Munte?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Săcele (1,354) and Valenii de Munte (1,318).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Săcele have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Valenii de Munte have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Corona Braşov(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(home) | 2-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Pucioasa(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Valenii de Munte(home) | 7-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Berca(away) | 2-5 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 2-7 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Săcele win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Valenii de Munte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Săcele 7-2 Valenii de Munte | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Săcele 2-1 Valenii de Munte | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Valenii de Munte 2-2 Săcele | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Săcele vs Valenii de Munte on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Săcele score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Valenii de Munte score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Săcele | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Valenii de Munte | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Săcele vs Valenii de Munte?
- The Footlab model makes Săcele the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Valenii de Munte.
- Where and when is Săcele vs Valenii de Munte played?
- Săcele vs Valenii de Munte is played on September 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at StadionulPrecizia Săcele, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.