Arouca vs Belenenses: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 10, 2015 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Belenenses?
Belenenses won 0-1 on April 10, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 53′PeléBelenenses (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Belenenses have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 22, 2015 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 15, 2015 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 8, 2015 | Benfica(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 1, 2015 | Academica(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | Moreirense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 22, 2015 | Boavista(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 14, 2015 | Estoril(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 7, 2015 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 2, 2015 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Arouca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Belenenses win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | Belenenses 0-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| May 10, 2014 | Belenenses 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 12, 2014 | Arouca 2-0 Belenenses | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Belenenses score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Belenenses | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy