Arouca vs Belenenses: result 2-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 12, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Belenenses?
Arouca won 2-0 on January 12, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 42′Lassad Hassen NouiouiArouca
- 61′Bruno AmaroArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 3 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Belenenses have 2, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2013 | GIL Vicente(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2013 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2013 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Maritimo(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2013 | Estoril(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 7, 2013 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 1, 2013 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 14; Belenenses score 0.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/14 | 6/14 |
| Belenenses | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/14 | 5/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy