Arouca vs Estoril: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 13, 2017 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Estoril?
Arouca won 2-1 on January 13, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 80′Adilson GoianoArouca
- 87′João BassoEstoril
- 90′KucaArouca
Official lineup for Arouca vs Estoril
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Arouca
4-2-3-1- 95W. González
- 11Jorginho
- 12Mateus
- 8Adilson Goiano
- 26André Santos
- 66Nuno Miguel Prata Coelho
- 7Artur
- 55Nelsinho
- 33Jubal
- 5Anderson Luis Ribeiro Pereira
- 1Rafael Bracali
Estoril
4-2-3-1- 14Gustavo Tocantins
- 18Alisson Farias
- 20Matheus Índio
- 27Mattheus Oliveira
- 8Eduardo
- 25Diogo Amado
- 3Aílton Ferreira Silva
- 15O. Diakhité
- 2João Afonso
- 5Joel Ferreira
- 31Moreira
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Estoril have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | Tondela(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2016 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Moreirense(away) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 12, 2016 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Feirense(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | Maritimo(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 22, 2016 | Chaves(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Benfica(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 14, 2016 | Sanjoanense(home) | 4-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Dec 9, 2016 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arouca win, 3 draws, 2 Estoril wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2016 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2016 | Arouca 1-0 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 25, 2015 | Estoril 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 18, 2014 | Arouca 1-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 31, 2014 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Arouca 1-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Estoril | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (14 points from 8 matches) and Estoril sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
A question about Arouca vs Estoril?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy