Arouca vs Estoril: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 2, 2021 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Estoril?
Arouca won 1-0 on February 2, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 12′ArsénioArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Estoril have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 17, 2021 | Mafra(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 5, 2021 | Academica(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 28, 2020 | Vilafranquense(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2021 | Maritimo(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Mafra(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 18, 2021 | SC Covilha(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 9, 2021 | Chaves(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arouca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2020 | Estoril 1-0 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| May 11, 2019 | Arouca 2-1 Estoril | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 9, 2019 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Segunda Liga |
| May 21, 2017 | Estoril 4-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 13, 2017 | Arouca 2-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| May 9, 2016 | Estoril 1-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 2.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Estoril | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy